MD-08 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Jamie Raskin (D) to win
TruthIndex™
97.2%Safe D−0.1 pts in 30 days
Raskin (D) 97.2%Riley (R) 2.0%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 97.0% · Kalshi 97.6% · 0.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET