nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
ME-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Paul LePage (R) to win

TruthIndex™
63.1%Lean R+4.6 pts in 30 days
LePage (R) 63.1%Dunlap (D) 36.9%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 62.5% · Kalshi 64.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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