nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MI-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Jack Bergman (R) to win

TruthIndex™
88.8%Likely R−4.6 pts in 30 days
Bergman (R) 88.8%Barr (D) 11.1%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 88.5% · Kalshi 89.0% · 0.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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