nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MI-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

John Moolenaar (R) to win

TruthIndex™
96.9%Safe R+0.5 pts in 30 days
Moolenaar (R) 96.9%Ambrose (D) 1.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 98.0% · Kalshi 96.5% · 1.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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