nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MI-07 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

William Lawrence (D) to win

TruthIndex™
62.5%Lean D+10.7 pts in 30 days
Lawrence (D) 62.5%Barrett (R) 36.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 62.5% · Kalshi 62.5% · 1.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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