nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MI-08 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) to win

TruthIndex™
93.9%Safe D+0.7 pts in 30 days
Rivet (D) 93.9%Smith (R) 4.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 94.5% · Kalshi 93.8% · 0.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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