nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MN-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Brad Finstad (R) to win

TruthIndex™
76.3%Likely R−4.9 pts in 30 days
Finstad (R) 76.3%Johnson (D) 23.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 74.5% · Kalshi 76.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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