MN-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Ilhan Omar (D) to win
TruthIndex™
93.8%Safe D−3.3 pts in 30 days
Omar (D) 93.8%Nagel (R) 5.4%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 95.2% · Kalshi 93.5% · 1.9 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET