MN-06 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Tom Emmer (R) to win
TruthIndex™
95.0%Safe R+3.0 pts in 30 days
Emmer (R) 95.0%Chapin (D) 3.3%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 95.7% · Kalshi 94.4% · 2.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET