nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MO-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Ann Wagner (R) to win

TruthIndex™
76.7%Likely R+6.2 pts in 30 days
Wagner (R) 76.7%Wellman (D) 23.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 77.0% · Kalshi 76.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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