MO-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Mark Alford (R) to win
TruthIndex™
95.9%Safe R+2.0 pts in 30 days
Alford (R) 95.9%Herrera (D) 3.2%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 95.8% · Kalshi 96.2% · 0.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET