nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MO-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Emanuel Cleaver (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.1%Safe D+2.8 pts in 30 days
Cleaver (D) 96.1%Brattin (R) 2.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.2% · Kalshi 96.1% · 0.1 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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