nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MO-06 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Chris Stigall (R) to win

TruthIndex™
96.2%Safe R+2.1 pts in 30 days
Stigall (R) 96.2%Smead (D) 4.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.0% · Kalshi 96.8% · 1.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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