nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MO-08 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Jason Smith (R) to win

TruthIndex™
97.9%Safe R+1.2 pts in 30 days
Smith (R) 97.9%Reichard (D) 2.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.8% · Kalshi 98.2% · 0.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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