nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MS-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Trent Kelly (R) to win

TruthIndex™
95.8%Safe R+0.5 pts in 30 days
Kelly (R) 95.8%Johnson (D) 3.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.0% · Kalshi 95.7% · 0.8 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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