nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MS-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Bennie Thompson (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.7%Safe D+3.5 pts in 30 days
Thompson (D) 97.7%Eller (R) 2.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.2% · Kalshi 97.9% · 0.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io