MS-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Michael Guest (R) to win
TruthIndex™
97.5%Safe R+0.8 pts in 30 days
Guest (R) 97.5%Chiaradio (D) 1.1%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 98.0% · Kalshi 97.4% · 0.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET