nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MT-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Aaron Flint (R) to win

TruthIndex™
68.5%Lean R+3.5 pts in 30 days
Flint (R) 68.5%Forstag (D) 31.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 67.5% · Kalshi 69.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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