nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MT-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Troy Downing (R) to win

TruthIndex™
97.8%Safe R+2.8 pts in 30 days
Downing (R) 97.8%Miller (D) 0.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.6% · Kalshi 98.0% · 0.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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