nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NC-06 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Addison McDowell (R) to win

TruthIndex™
90.5%Safe R−0.9 pts in 30 days
McDowell (R) 90.5%Jefferson (D) 9.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 90.5% · Kalshi 90.4% · 0.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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