nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NC-08 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Mark Harris (R) to win

TruthIndex™
95.5%Safe R+3.4 pts in 30 days
Harris (R) 95.5%Watson (D) 3.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.4% · Kalshi 95.9% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io