nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NC-11 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Jamie Ager (D) to win

TruthIndex™
77.2%Likely D+14.0 pts in 30 days
Ager (D) 77.2%Balkcom (R) 23.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 75.5% · Kalshi 77.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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