nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NE-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Mike Flood (R) to win

TruthIndex™
82.5%Likely R−3.2 pts in 30 days
Flood (R) 82.5%Backemeyer (D) 18.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 82.5% · Kalshi 82.5% · 1.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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