NE-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Adrian Smith (R) to win
TruthIndex™
97.6%Safe R+1.9 pts in 30 days
Smith (R) 97.6%Stille (D) 1.7%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 97.1% · Kalshi 98.3% · 1.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET