nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NJ-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Jeff Van Drew (R) to win

TruthIndex™
83.3%Likely R−1.5 pts in 30 days
Drew (R) 83.3%Mullock (D) 16.1%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 83.5% · Kalshi 83.0% · 1.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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