nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NJ-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Herb Conaway (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.4%Safe D+1.9 pts in 30 days
Conaway (D) 97.4%McGuire (R) 0.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.5% · Kalshi 97.3% · 0.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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