NJ-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Chris Smith (R) to win
TruthIndex™
97.3%Safe R+1.9 pts in 30 days
Smith (R) 97.3%Peace (D) 2.9%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 97.4% · Kalshi 97.3% · 0.1 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET