nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NJ-10 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

LaMonica McIver (D) to win

TruthIndex™
98.2%Safe D+1.6 pts in 30 days
McIver (D) 98.2%Bucco (R) 1.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.0% (one-sided) · Kalshi 98.2% · 0.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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