NJ-12 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Adam Hamawy (D) to win
TruthIndex™
97.4%Safe D+3.0 pts in 30 days
Hamawy (D) 97.4%Mele (R) 1.8%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 97.0% · Kalshi 97.8% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET