nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NM-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Melanie Stansbury (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.0%Safe D+2.8 pts in 30 days
Stansbury (D) 97.0%Okpareke (R) 1.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.8% · Kalshi 97.1% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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