nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NM-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Teresa Leger Fernández (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.4%Safe D+3.1 pts in 30 days
Fernández (D) 96.4%Zamora (R) 3.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.6% · Kalshi 95.7% · 0.9 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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