nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NV-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

David Flippo (R) to win

TruthIndex™
73.3%Lean R−1.7 pts in 30 days
Flippo (R) 73.3%Benitez-Thompson (D) 26.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 73.0% · Kalshi 73.5% · 1.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io