nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NV-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Steven Horsford (D) to win

TruthIndex™
94.2%Safe D+3.2 pts in 30 days
Horsford (D) 94.2%Whipple (R) 5.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 94.2% · Kalshi 94.2% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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