nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NY-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Nick LaLota (R) to win

TruthIndex™
85.7%Likely R+10.4 pts in 30 days
LaLota (R) 85.7%Gallant (D) 14.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 84.5% · Kalshi 86.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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