nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NY-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Andrew Garbarino (R) to win

TruthIndex™
86.1%Likely R−1.0 pts in 30 days
Garbarino (R) 86.1%Halpin (D) 14.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 84.5% · Kalshi 86.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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