nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NY-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Tom Suozzi (D) to win

TruthIndex™
90.8%Safe D−0.7 pts in 30 days
Suozzi (D) 90.8%LiPetri (R) 9.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 89.5% · Kalshi 91.0% · 1.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io