NY-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Laura Gillen (D) to win
TruthIndex™
91.7%Safe D−1.1 pts in 30 days
Gillen (D) 91.7%Driscoll (R) 7.3%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 91.0% · Kalshi 91.8% · 0.8 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET