nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NY-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Gregory Meeks (D) to win

TruthIndex™
98.1%Safe D+1.7 pts in 30 days
Meeks (D) 98.1%Marsh (R) 0.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 98.0% · Kalshi 98.3% · 0.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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