NY-10 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Brad Lander (D) to win
TruthIndex™
98.1%Safe D−0.0 pts in 30 days
Lander (D) 98.1%Moore (R) 0.6%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 97.8% · Kalshi 98.4% · 0.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET