nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NY-11 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Nicole Malliotakis (R) to win

TruthIndex™
95.3%Safe R+2.2 pts in 30 days
Malliotakis (R) 95.3%DeCillis (D) 4.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.5% · Kalshi 94.6% · 0.9 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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