nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NY-14 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.4%Safe D+1.1 pts in 30 days
Ocasio-Cortez (D) 97.4%Hysenaj (R) 3.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.1% · Kalshi 98.0% · 0.9 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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