nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NY-15 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Ritchie Torres (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.9%Safe D+0.3 pts in 30 days
Torres (D) 97.9%Sapaskis (R) 1.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.8% · Kalshi 97.9% · 0.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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