nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NY-16 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

George Latimer (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.7%Safe D+1.5 pts in 30 days
Latimer (D) 97.7%Cinquemani (R) 2.1%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.5% · Kalshi 98.0% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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