NY-17 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Cait Conley (D) to win
TruthIndex™
59.3%Toss-up−3.4 pts in 30 days
Conley (D) 59.3%Lawler (R) 40.5%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 58.5% · Kalshi 60.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET