nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NY-18 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Pat Ryan (D) to win

TruthIndex™
95.3%Safe D+1.7 pts in 30 days
Ryan (D) 95.3%Auringer (R) 4.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.4% · Kalshi 95.3% · 0.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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