NY-19 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Josh Riley (D) to win
TruthIndex™
96.5%Safe D+0.9 pts in 30 days
Riley (D) 96.5%Oberacker (R) 3.0%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 96.4% · Kalshi 96.5% · 0.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET