nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NY-21 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Anthony Constantino (R) to win

TruthIndex™
75.1%Likely R+0.1 pts in 30 days
Constantino (R) 75.1%Gendebien (D) 25.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 74.5% · Kalshi 75.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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