NY-22 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
John Mannion (D) to win
TruthIndex™
94.7%Safe D+0.7 pts in 30 days
Mannion (D) 94.7%Buller (R) 4.9%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 94.5% · Kalshi 94.8% · 0.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET