nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NY-24 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Claudia Tenney (R) to win

TruthIndex™
96.4%Safe R+3.1 pts in 30 days
Tenney (R) 96.4%Ellman (D) 2.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.4% · Kalshi 96.7% · 0.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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