NY-25 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Joseph Morelle (D) to win
TruthIndex™
97.4%Safe D+1.0 pts in 30 days
Morelle (D) 97.4%McIntyre (R) 2.3%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 97.2% · Kalshi 97.6% · 0.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET